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Tour championship 2024 odds, starting strokes and picks to win, share this article.

The grand finale of the 2024 PGA Tour season has arrived as the top 30 players in the season-long points race have made their way to Atlanta for the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler holds the top spot in the FedEx Cup Standings, meaning he’ll begin his first round at 10 under, two shots ahead of Xander Schauffele (No. 2 in the FEC). Scheffler, who tied for 33rd in the 50-man field at last week’s BMW Championship, is +110 to win.

Defending FedEx Cup champion Viktor Hovland is 17th in the points standings, meaning he’ll begin the event at 2 under, eight shots back of Scheffler.

This week’s winner will take home $25 million of the $100 million FedEx Cup bonus pool.

Golf course

East Lake Golf Club | Par 71 | 7,490 yards

Starting strokes, leaderboard

Betting odds, picks to win, rory mcilroy (16/1).

Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland plays his shot from the seventh tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Castle Pines Golf Club on August 23, 2024 in Castle Rock, Colorado. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

The only three-time FedEx Cup champion will begin the week six shots back of Scheffler, but don’t let that get to you. When he won here in 2022, he started his week with a triple bogey on the first hole but came all the way back to claim the title.

Coming off a T-11 performance at the BMW Championship, McIlroy provides decent value at this number.

Ludvig Aberg (20/1)

Ludvig Åberg after his tee shot on the fifth hole during the final round of the BMW Championship golf tournament at Castle Pines Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

The Tour Championship is one of the weirdest events on the schedule to bet thanks to the staggered start. The key is finding value, and Ludvig Aberg at 20/1 feels like a great number.

The Swede was one of the runner-ups to Keegan Bradley at Castle Pines and his game should fit East Lake nicely, especially his prowess off the tee.

Patrick Cantlay (35/1)

Patrick Cantlay watches his tee shot on the third hole during the third round of the BMW Championship golf tournament at Castle Pines Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

The 2021 FedEx Cup champion will start the week at 4 under, six shots back of Scheffler.

Cantlay tied for 13th at the BMW Championship a week after tying for 12th at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Sam Burns (40/1)

Sam Burns hits his tee shot on the seventh hole during the final round of the BMW Championship golf tournament at Castle Pines Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Burns used a 7-under final round at the BMW Championship to finish in a tie for second. He’s one of those players you roll with when he starts to get hot.

I expect Burns to make a lot of putts on the Bermuda greens this week, and he’ll need them starting at 4 under, six back.

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2024 PGA Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by advanced golf model that nailed 11 majors

Sportsline's proven model simulated the pga championship 2024 10,000 times and revealed its surprising golf picks.

Brooks Koepka will begin his title defense when the 2024 PGA Championship gets underway on Thursday, May 16, at Valhalla Golf Club. Koepka, who finished two strokes ahead of Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland last year to record his fifth major championship, will try to repeat as champion for the second time in his career (2018-19). Tiger Woods, meanwhile, will attempt to match Jack Nicklaus and Walter Hagen for most victories (five) at the PGA Championship. Scheffler, the reigning Masters champion and the No. 1-ranked player in the world, is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2024 PGA Championship odds. He's followed by Rory McIlroy (6-1) and Koepka (10-1) on the PGA odds board.

Should your 2024 PGA Championship picks include backing one of the favorites, or should you target a longshot like Woods (125-1) or Jordan Spieth (55-1)? Before locking in any 2024 PGA Championship picks of your own, entering PGA DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings or FanDuel, or finalizing PGA Championship props and PGA Championship Pick Six entries, be sure to see the 2024 PGA Championship golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine .

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the PGA Championship 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard .

Top 2024 PGA Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 PGA Championship: Brooks Koepka, a three-time PGA champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top 10. Koepka has five major tournament wins on his resume and a reputation for elevating his level of play in big events. However, his last two major starts haven't gone well as he was 45th at the Masters, which followed a 64th-place finish at last year's Open Championship. He's failed to shoot par in each of his last seven rounds at major tournaments.

After notching three tournament wins in 2023, including last year's PGA Championship, it has been tough sledding for Koepka in 2024. He has no victories, or even top-fives, and across his six starts, he has three times as many finishes outside the top 25 (three) as he has inside the top 10 (one). He played Valhalla at the 2014 PGA Championship and finished in a tie for 15th place, but that placement ranks just eighth out of his 11 career PGA Championship starts. See who else to fade here .

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Morikawa won his first major championship at the PGA Championship in 2020. He's racked up six career victories on the PGA Tour, which includes two major championships.

The 27-year-old will also enter the 2024 PGA Championship full of confidence after securing a top-10 finish in two of his last three individual starts on the PGA Tour, including a third-place showing at the Masters in April. Morikawa is currently ranked second in driving accuracy (78.77%), 12th in one-putt percentage (43.97%) and 18th in birdie average (4.31), making him a strong value pick for your 2024 PGA Championship bets, according to the model.  See who else to back here .

How to make 2024 PGA Championship picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here .

Who will win the 2024 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the PGA Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters .

2024 PGA Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 PGA Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here

Scottie Scheffler +300 Rory McIlroy +600 Brooks Koepka +1000 Xander Schauffele +1200 Ludvig Aberg +1200 Jon Rahm +1400 Joaquin Niemann +2500 Collin Morikawa +2500 Bryson DeChambeau +2500 Wyndham Clark +2500 Patrick Cantlay +2800 Cameron Smith +3300 Max Homa +3300 Viktor Hovland +3500 Hideki Matsuyama +3500 Will Zalatoris +4000 Justin Thomas +4000 Tommy Fleetwood +4500 Dustin Johnson +4500 Cameron Young +5000 Jason Day +5000 Matt Fitzpatrick +5000 Tyrrell Hatton +5000 Jordan Spieth +5500 Tony Finau +5500 Patrick Reed +6000 Byeong Hun An +6000 Sam Burns +6000 Shane Lowry +6000 Tom Kim +6000 Sungjae Im +6500 Dean Burmester +6500 Sahith Theegala +6500 Abraham Ancer +7000 Min Woo Lee +7500 Brian Harman +7500 Talor Gooch +8000 Keegan Bradley +8500 Akshay Bhatia +8500 Russell Henley +8500 Adam Scott +8500 Sepp Straka +8500 Si Woo Kim +9000 Tiger Woods +12500 David Puig +12500 Corey Conners +12500 Rickie Fowler +12500 Stephan Jaeger +12500 Denny McCarthy +12500 Phil Mickelson +12500 Jake Knapp +12500 Chris Kirk +12500 Billy Horschel +12500 Sergio Garcia +12500 Taylor Pendrith +12500 Adrian Meronk +12500 Austin Eckroat +15000 Mackenzie Hughes +15000 Alex Noren +15000 Harris English +15000 Matthieu Pavon +15000 Ryan Fox +15000 Adrian Otaegui +15000 Justin Rose +17500 Adam Schenk +17500 Keith Mitchell +17500 Mito Pereira +17500 Kurt Kitayama +17500 Daniel Berger +17500 Christiaan Bezuidenhout +17500 Emiliano Grillo +17500 Lucas Herbert +17500 Tom Hoge +17500 Victor Perez +17500 Erik Van Rooyen +17500 Lucas Glover +17500 Nicolai Hojgaard +20000 Eric Cole +20000 Jordan Smith +20000 Thomas Pieters +20000 J.T. Poston +20000 Thomas Detry +22500 Ryan Van Velzen +22500 Cam Davis +22500 Thriston Lawrence +22500 Beau Hossler +22500 Aaron Rai +22500 Ben Griffin +22500 Nick Taylor +22500 Alex Smalley +22500 Brendon Todd +25000 Maverick McNealy +25000 Luke List +25000 Nick Dunlap +25000 Davis Riley +25000 Adam Hadwin +25000 Marc Leishman +25000 Seamus Power +25000 Ryo Hisatsune +27500 Matt Wallace +27500 Andrew Putnam +27500 Andy Ogletree +27500 Patrick Rodgers +30000 Doug Ghim +30000 Taylor Moore +30000 Sebastian Soderberg +30000 Adam Svensson +30000 Rasmus Hojgaard +30000 Robert MacIntyre +30000 Gary Woodland +30000 Lee Hodges +30000 Ben Kohles +30000 K.H. Lee +30000 Camillo Villegas +35000 Alejandro Tosti +35000 Taylor Montgomery +35000 Vincent Norrman +35000 Jesper Svensson +35000 Tim Widing +35000 Charley Hoffman +40000 Mark Hubbard +40000 Keita Nakajima +40000 Zac Blair +50000 Francisco Molinari +50000 Joel Dahmen +50000 Peter Malnati +50000 Sami Valimaki +50000 Takumi Kanaya +50000 Grayson Murray +50000 Alexander Bjork +50000 Martin Kaymer +75000 Kazuma Kobori +75000 Brice Garnett +75000 Michael Block +75000 Padraig Harrington +75000 Luke Donald +75000 Jimmy Walker +75000 Y.E. Yang +100000 Jason Dufner +100000 John Daly +150000 Wyatt Worthington IV +150000 Tyler Collet +200000 Matt Dobyns +200000 Josh Speight +200000 Braden Shattuk +200000 Brad Marek +200000 Tracy Phillips +200000 Evan Bowser +200000 Josh Bevell +200000 Larkin Gross +200000 Rich Beem +200000 Zac Oakley +200000 Jeremy Wells +200000 Preston Cole +200000 John Somers +200000 Ben Polland +200000 Kyle Mendoza +200000 Jared Jones +200000 Shaun Micheel +200000 Jeff Kellen +200000 Jesse Mueller +200000 Andy Svoboda +200000

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2024 pga championship odds, picks and pga tour predictions, share this article.

Louisville will be the center of the golf world this week with the 2024 PGA Championship in town for the 2nd major of the year. Valhalla Golf Club is hosting this storied event for 2nd time in 10 years. In 2014 Rory McIlroy won it to claim his 3rd major championship. The 1st round tees off on Thursday morning from Kentucky.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 PGA Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions .

World No. 1  Scottie Scheffler hasn’t played since winning the RBC Heritage the week after winning the Masters, but he’ll be back in the field this week following the birth of his 1st child and in search of his 2nd straight major title. He’s the betting favorite again at +450, followed by McIlroy (+750) and Xander Schauffele (+1400), who dueled on Sunday at the Wells Fargo Championship. Reigning PGA Champion Brooks Koepka is at +1600 in his quest for a 4th Wanamaker Trophy.

The field also includes 4-time PGA Championship winner Tiger Woods , who opens at +15000 to win. Woods finished 60th at the Masters (+16).

Valhalla Golf Club is yet another long PGA Championship course, coming in at 7,609 yards. It’s a par 71, making it an even more challenging track at that length. It was designed by Jack Nicklaus and opened in 1986 and this is the 4th time it is hosting a PGA Championship (1986, 2000, 2014). Hitting the fairway is critical because of how lush the rough is, penalizing players for missing with errant tee shots.

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PGA Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook ; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:32 p.m. ET.

Brooks Koepka (+1600)

Koepka is a big-game hunter and the PGA Championship is his specialty. He’s won this event 3 times already, claiming the title in 2018, 2019 and 2023. He finished 2nd in 2021 at Kiawah, too, behind only Phil Mickelson . Koepka did not have a good week at the Masters (T-49, +9), but he’s since gotten back on track, finishing 10th in Adelaide and winning in Singapore, his last 2 LIV starts. With a U.S. Open-type layout, Koepka has the ability to grind through 4 rounds better than most players.

Ludvig Aberg (+1800)

Aberg withdrew from the Wells Fargo Championship last week due to a knee injury, but that seems to be more of a precaution than a serious ailment for the 24-year-old star. In his 1st career major start at the Masters in April, he finished 2nd, showing that no stage is too big for him. He has the all-around game to win a PGA Championship, too, being one of the best drivers and long-iron players in the world.

Rory McIlroy (+750)

This number was a bit higher before McIlroy won in convincing fashion at Quail Hollow on Sunday, but he’s still worth betting at +750. He’s now won in back-to-back starts and heads to Valhalla where he won the 2014 PGA Championship. With the Masters pressure behind him, he can play more freely in Louisville this week knowing this event doesn’t come with the burden of attempting to complete the grand slam.

PGA Championship picks – Contenders

Will zalatoris (+6000).

In Zalatoris’ last 5 starts at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open, he’s finished 6th, 8th, MC, 2nd and 2nd. Few players in the world have had better recent success in those 2 major championships than Zalatoris, and it’s largely because the best ball-strikers rise to the top in these events. He’s a great bet for any PGA Championship, especially at +6000. That number is much longer than you’d expect from his major history.

Cameron Smith (+4000)

The biggest concern with Smith is his driving accuracy. He can get a bit wild off the tee, which at a course like Valhalla can be particularly penalizing. But if he can manage to keep it in the short grass, he’ll be peppering these greens to give himself good looks at birdies. And when he misses the green, he has an excellent short game to scramble and recover for pars. He’s finished 13th and 9th in his last 2 PGA Championship starts.

Jason Day (+5500)

Day is a past PGA Champion, winning in 2015 at Whistling Straits. He struggled in this championship in recent years but he has 6 career top-10s in the PGA Championship. Day is playing well at the moment, fresh off a T-4 at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, a good test before the year’s 2nd major.

PGA Championship picks – Long shots

Jake knapp (+17500).

Knapp has all the talent in the world, but he can be inconsistent, particularly with his driver. When the timing of his swing is off, he tends to have a bad left miss off the tee, which has hurt him in recent months. But as we saw at the Mexico Open and Cognizant Classic in back-to-back weeks when he finished 1st and 4th, he’s a star when the swing is timed up properly. He has the length to conquer Valhalla, too.

Alex Noren (+12500)

It’s been 3 months since Noren finished worse than 24th in any event. He’s on a heater right now and while that may not translate to a major win (he has zero career PGA Tour victories), he’s worth considering at this price. Noren ranks 8th on tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green so his ball-striking is fantastic.

Cam Davis (+15000)

Davis was having a good week in Charlotte until he shot 6-over in the final round to tumble down the leaderboard, all the way to T-38. He surprised a lot of people when he came in 3rd at the 2023 PGA Championship and he’s now made the cut in 3 straight years at this major.

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For more sports betting picks and tips , check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW .

• Rory McIlroy sprints past Xander Schauffele, runs away with 2024 Wells Fargo Championship win
• Q&A: Jason Day on winning the PGA Championship, life at No. 1 and rediscovering his mojo

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Black Desert Championship

Black Desert Resort

Ivins, Utah • USA

Oct 10 - 13, 2024